Chapter summaries In the Likely Event Rebecca Yarros

Chapter Twenty‑Three Summary – Nathaniel

⚠️ Spoiler Warning: This guide contains detailed spoilers for the entire novel. Proceed only if you've finished reading or are comfortable knowing the plot.


Summary

Nate’s POV – Kabul, Afghanistan – August 2021

The embassy is in chaos as the Taliban rapidly takes province after province. During a briefing, Webb shows red‑marked maps: Herat, Lashkar Gah, Kandahar have all fallen. Kabul is now the last exit point. Nate’s unit is split into squads for evacuation duties, but he remains assigned to Isabeau.

Senator Lauren has approved Izzy’s request to stay—only as long as her safety can be guaranteed. The reason: Izzy refuses to leave without her older sister, photojournalist Serena, who is in Mazar‑i‑Sharif. Serena’s interpreter, Taj Barech, is stuck in visa limbo because his file lacks a letter of recommendation. Nate takes charge, calling a State Department official and promising to deliver the letter within two hours by asking General Webb to wake a flag officer.

Alone with Izzy, Nate confronts her about staying. She accuses him of being emotionally closed off; he reminds her that he was the one always open about his feelings. The conversation turns personal: Izzy says she deserves at least a day to try to get Serena out, referencing the years she spent waiting for Nate. He counters that when the time comes, he will put her on a plane forcibly. She touches his chest and tells him he deserves a real life, a home, a future. Nate snaps and asks if that’s what she has with Covington. Izzy’s reply cuts deep: “He was there.”


Key Events

  • Webb’s briefing reveals the Taliban has seized Herat, Lashkar Gah, and Kandahar; the unit learns their fellow operators at the airport are cut off and low on supplies.
  • Nate learns Senator Lauren approved Izzy’s request to remain, contingent on safe evacuation. He privately vows to get her out.
  • Izzy is on the phone with the State Department trying to expedite Taj Barech’s visa; the missing letter of recommendation is the bottleneck.
  • Nate intervenes, identifies himself as a JSOC sergeant, and promises to deliver the letter within two hours.
  • He dispatches his team: Elston to get the letter from a general, Black to check checkpoints to Mazar‑i‑Sharif, Gray to find a cell phone for Serena.
  • Nate and Izzy have a raw argument about her refusal to leave without Serena. She asks for twenty‑four hours; he reluctantly agrees.
  • Izzy admits she has always cared about him, but Nate tells her to stop trying to end every war—his work will always exist.
  • The chapter ends with Nate demanding to know what she sees in Covington; Izzy answers only “He was there.”

Character Development

Nathaniel (Nate): This chapter shows Nate’s dual vulnerability and stubbornness. He is fiercely protective of Izzy, willing to bend protocol (calling a general for a letter) and risk his career to keep her safe. Yet he struggles to admit his own feelings, deflecting with sarcasm and distance when Izzy brings up their past. His resentment toward Covington bubbles to the surface, revealing that he has never truly moved on.

Isabeau (Izzy): Izzy is caught between duty and love. She is relentless in her work to save Serena and Taj, but her emotional guard slips when she accuses Nate of wasting her waiting years. The line “He was there” exposes the loneliness she felt after their breakup and her anger that Nate was never present. Her stubbornness to stay mirrors the same trait she condemns in him.

Serena (off‑page): Even absent, Serena drives the plot. Her connection to Taj and her refusal to leave without him force Izzy to risk everything. Izzy’s loyalty to her sister defines her choice to stay in a war zone.


Themes, Symbols, or Motifs

  • Sacrifice vs. Self‑Preservation: Nate and Izzy both sacrifice their own safety and emotional well‑being for the people they love—Nate for Izzy, Izzy for Serena. The chapter questions whether this is noble or foolish.
  • Presence vs. Absence: Izzy’s accusation that Covington “was there” contrasts sharply with Nate’s history of being absent—not just physically, but emotionally during their past relationship. This theme recurs throughout the novel.
  • The Red Map: The briefing map, with provinces highlighted in red, symbolizes the narrowing window of escape. As the red spreads, the tension rises, mirroring the narrowing of Nate and Izzy’s options.
  • Bureaucracy vs. Humanity: The visa struggle for Taj Barech shows how institutional red tape endangers lives. Nate’s willingness to bypass normal channels highlights the theme that personal connections can sometimes overcome systemic failures.

Why This Chapter Matters

Chapter 23 is a turning point for both the external plot and the internal relationship arc. The Afghanistan crisis intensifies beyond repair, establishing that the coming evacuation will be desperate and dangerous. This chapter forces Nate and Izzy to stop pretending they can remain professional. Their argument lays bare the wounds of their past—Izzy’s years of waiting, Nate’s inability to promise a normal life. The revelation that Izzy chose Covington simply because he was present shatters Nate’s assumption that she never cared. This emotional honesty changes the stakes for the remainder of the novel.


Study Questions and Answers

1. Why does Izzy refuse to leave Kabul, and how does Nate respond to her refusal?
Izzy refuses to leave because her sister Serena is still in Mazar‑i‑Sharif, and she believes that if she leaves, Serena will have no one fighting for her. Nate initially tries to reason with her, then threatens to physically carry her onto a plane. Ultimately he agrees to a twenty‑four‑hour delay to try to get Serena out.

2. What does Nate’s intervention in Taj Barech’s visa case reveal about his character?
Nate takes immediate, unauthorized action—calling a State Department official, leveraging his JSOC credentials, and calling in a general to write a letter of recommendation—showing his resourcefulness and willingness to break rules for the people he cares about. It also demonstrates that he is used to solving problems through direct action rather than bureaucracy.

3. How does the chapter use the past relationship between Nate and Izzy to heighten the current crisis?
Their history of long‑distance waiting and emotional absence is directly invoked in their argument. Izzy’s comment that she “deserve[s] a day” for all the years she waited for Nate personalizes the urgency of the current twenty‑four‑hour deadline. Nate’s reaction shows that the old pain is still alive, making every decision about evacuation also a decision about their future together.


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