Chapter summaries In the Likely Event Rebecca Yarros

Chapter 22 (Izzy): The Confession and the Wall

⚠️ Spoiler Warning: This guide contains detailed spoilers for the entire novel. Proceed only if you've finished reading or are comfortable knowing the plot.

Summary

Izzy watches the moonlight on the water from the deck of their overwater bungalow in Fiji. It is June 2017, and they have only two days left of their vacation. She reflects on how she has compared every other partner to Nate and realizes she is hopelessly in love with him, even though he will not let her in.

That night, Nate suffers a nightmare. When Izzy touches him to wake him, he reacts violently, pinning her to the bed with his forearm before he realizes what he is doing. Horrified, he dives into the ocean. The next morning, he presents Izzy with a list of future travel destinations, including Palau, Peru, Borneo, the Canary Islands, and the Maldives. He has already booked flights for Palau the following year, one from North Carolina for himself and one from New York for her—revealing he does not expect her to move to be with him.

Izzy presses him to talk about the nightmare and his PTSD. Nate admits he keeps a weapon under his pillow when deployed and that his tendency to compartmentalize is a coping mechanism. He insists she does not want to know the things he has done. When Izzy blurts out that she loves him, Nate reacts with devastation, telling her she cannot love him. He says he is terrified of ruining their only shot and that he is not good enough for her. Izzy realizes he will always choose his military path and will not allow her to follow. Yet she takes whatever he will give her for the remaining two days, then returns to D.C., packs for a job in New York, and begins counting the days until Palau.

Key Events

  • Nate experiences a nightmare and accidentally pins Izzy to the bed.
  • After diving into the ocean, Nate spends the night on the couch.
  • The next morning, Nate gives Izzy a handwritten list of future travel plans.
  • Nate reveals he has already booked flights for Palau the following year, one from North Carolina and one from New York.
  • Izzy confronts Nate about his refusal to let her in.
  • Izzy confesses she is in love with Nate.
  • Nate rejects her confession, saying she cannot love him and that he is not good enough.
  • Izzy accepts the situation and spends the remaining two days with him before returning to D.C.

Character Development

  • Izzy: Acknowledges that she is “hopelessly, inexorably in love” with Nate and admits it aloud for the first time. She also learns that she cannot force Nate to share his trauma; her love cannot break through his defenses.
  • Nate: Shows his vulnerability after the nightmare, but immediately retreats into compartmentalization. He insists on protecting Izzy from his “other” self and believes that his love for her means keeping her at a distance. His fear of ruining their relationship outweighs his desire for full intimacy.

Themes, Symbols, or Motifs

  • Compartmentalization: Nate explicitly describes his ability to separate his combat experience from his life at home. This coping mechanism becomes the central barrier between him and Izzy.
  • Barriers to love: Physical distance, Nate’s military career, and his psychological walls all prevent the relationship from becoming “real” in Izzy’s eyes. The travel list symbolizes their future of fleeting, scheduled encounters rather than a shared life.
  • Moonlight/water: The chapter opens with Izzy admiring the moon on the water, and Nate dives into the ocean after his nightmare. The water represents both escape and the hidden depth of Nate’s trauma.
  • The weapon under the pillow: A symbol of Nate’s hypervigilance and the violence he carries inside, even when he is supposedly at rest.

Why This Chapter Matters

Chapter 22 is the emotional turning point for Izzy and Nate’s relationship. Izzy’s confession of love forces the unresolved tension between them into the open. Nate’s refusal to accept her love clarifies that he is not ready or willing to change his life for her. The chapter establishes the tragic bargain they make: they will continue to see each other on rare occasions, but Nate will never allow Izzy to know his full self. This decision shapes the remainder of the novel, as Izzy chooses to settle for partial access rather than lose Nate entirely.

Study Questions and Answers

1. Why does Nate react so harshly when Izzy tells him she loves him?

Nate is terrified that if Izzy truly knows the things he has done during deployments, she will never look at him the same way. He also believes he is “not good enough” for her and that a real relationship would eventually ruin what they have. His own fear of loss leads him to push her away rather than risk hurting her.

2. What does the travel list reveal about the future Nate envisions for them?

The list shows that Nate plans to keep their relationship exactly as it has been: a series of annual, brief encounters in exotic locations. By booking flights from North Carolina and New York separately, he signals that he does not expect Izzy to move to be with him, nor will he leave the military. They will steal weekends and weeks but never build a shared life.

3. How does Nate’s statement “the second I go talking to some shrink about nightmares, I can forget all about getting through the Q Course” illustrate a larger conflict?

This line highlights the tension between Nate’s military ambitions and his mental health. The Special Forces selection process punishes vulnerability, so Nate feels he cannot seek therapy without jeopardizing his career. This institutional pressure forces him to suppress his trauma, deepening the wall between him and Izzy.

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