In the Likely Event Chapter 14 Summary: Nate's Surprise Birthday Visit
⚠️ Spoiler Warning: This guide contains detailed spoilers for the entire novel. Proceed only if you've finished reading or are comfortable knowing the plot.
Summary
Chapter 14 opens with Izzy reading a letter from Nate, who suggests they take a vacation together after his deployment. He crosses out the intimate details, leaving her to imagine what he wanted to say. Serena, now Izzy's roommate, teases her about obsessing over the letter and encourages her to date available men. Izzy goes on a few dates—Patrick, a fellow law student—but none compare to Nate. Serena mentions congressional candidate Eliana Lauren, who wants to end the war in Afghanistan, but Izzy avoids politics. Over the next months, Izzy focuses on law school, ignores Nate's letters during finals, and breaks up with another boyfriend after four dates. Her parents cancel a planned birthday visit. On the night before her twenty-second birthday, Serena leaves for a weekend with her boyfriend, and Nate appears in Izzy's kitchen as a surprise.
Key Events
- Izzy reads Nate's letter about a future beach vacation; Serena mock-threatens to burn it.
- Serena and Izzy discuss Izzy's failed date with Patrick, a 2L focused on corporate law and his phone.
- Serena introduces the idea of Eliana Lauren, a congressional candidate who wants to end the war in Afghanistan.
- Over the fall and winter, Izzy's correspondence with Nate grows; she briefly stops writing during finals but Nate remains supportive.
- Izzy ends a short relationship after four weeks, around the same time her parents cancel their birthday trip.
- Izzy talks to Margo on the phone; Margo questions whether Izzy and Nate's bond is trauma-induced or genuine.
- On the eve of Izzy's birthday, Serena orchestrates a surprise and leaves the apartment.
- Izzy finds Nate waiting in her kitchen; they embrace.
Character Development
Izzy Astor shows increasing emotional dependence on Nate through her attachment to his letters and hoodie. She struggles to connect with other men because none measure up to Nate's thoughtfulness and presence. Her avoidance of politics and disappointing relationship with her parents underscore her desire for genuine connection over social expectation.
Nate remains a constant presence through letters, even when Izzy ghosts him. His surprise visit demonstrates his commitment and understanding of what matters to her—showing up when she least expects it.
Serena acts as a supportive but pragmatic sister, pushing Izzy to date and warning her about parental neglect. She respects Nate's selfless attitude and helps orchestrate the surprise.
Margo provides an outside perspective, questioning whether Izzy's bond with Nate is real or a trauma response from the crash. This adds a layer of doubt and depth to their relationship.
Themes, Symbols, and Motifs
- Letters and distance: The letters symbolize the bridge across deployment, maintaining intimacy despite separation. The crossed-out portions highlight what remains unsaid and the yearning for physical closeness.
- Absence versus presence: Nate's consistent letters contrast with Izzy's absent parents and the failed dates. His sudden physical presence at the end upends her expectation of loneliness.
- Family disappointment: The Astors prioritize business over their daughter's birthday, reinforcing Izzy's feeling of being unloved.
- War and politics: The mention of the Afghanistan war and Eliana Lauren's campaign subtly connects Nate's deployment to larger political forces.
- Surprise and hope: Nate's appearance on Izzy's birthday is a turning point, promising that their connection can overcome distance.
Why This Chapter Matters
This chapter deepens Izzy's emotional arc and reveals the strain of long-distance love. It shows her rejecting other suitors while clinging to Nate's letters, and it culminates in a dramatic reversal—Nate's surprise arrival. This event reframes their relationship as something tangible and immediate, not just a correspondence. It also highlights the systemic pressures on Izzy's life (family, law school, politics) and her resolve to carve her own path.
Study Questions and Answers
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Why does Izzy end her relationships so quickly?
Izzy compares every potential partner to Nate. None of them offer the same emotional depth or make her feel seen the way Nate does. She admits she doesn't want to string someone along when she knows it won't work because her heart is already committed. -
What does Serena's teasing reveal about Nate's character?
Serena points out that Nate could have "locked [Izzy] down" but instead let her go to law school and date. This demonstrates Nate's selflessness and respect for Izzy's future, confirming he prioritizes her happiness over his own desires. -
How does the chapter's ending change Izzy's expectations?
The surprise visit subverts Izzy's plan for a lonely, quiet birthday. Nate's presence reinforces that he is invested in her life despite distance, and it gives Izzy hope that their connection is not just epistolary but can be lived in the same space.